A three-level framework for multi-risk assessment

Liu, Zhongqiang and Nadim, Farrokh and Garcia-Aristizabal, Alexander and Mignan, Arnaud and Fleming, Kevin and Luna, Byron Quan (2015) A three-level framework for multi-risk assessment. Georisk: Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards, 9 (2). pp. 59-74. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/17499518.2015.1041989

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Official URL: http://doi.org/10.1080/17499518.2015.1041989

Abstract

The effective management of the risks posed by natural and man-made hazards requires all relevant threats and their interactions to be considered. This paper proposes a three-level framework for multi-risk assessment that accounts for possible hazard and risk interactions. The first level is a flow chart that guides the user in deciding whether a multi-hazard and risk approach is required. The second level is a semi-quantitative approach to explore if a more detailed, quantitative assessment is needed. The third level is a detailed quantitative multi-risk analysis based on Bayesian networks. Examples that demonstrate the application of the method are presented.

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Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: multi-risk, cascading hazards, time-variant vulnerability, Bayesian network
Subjects: Methodology > Method and procesing
Project: SHEER project